Thanks for your work writing this up. I appreciate the explanation of how and why your model ranks DR higher than most public scouting services. I would like to address what I believe to be an errant logic in the following statement. I have seen others make the same leap, but I don’t think the conclusion follows. You write: “Kent Hughes said that if David Reinbacher was a left, there is a chance the team would have smaller interest in him. So it is clear that the team hopes to answer an immediate need with this selection.” Hughes comment only states that they would possibly exclude if he played a position of abundance. It does not follow that they are drafting for need, only that they MIGHT not draft if it was a position in which their cup runneth over. KH did not say that he rose on their list because he is a right-shot defence-man. If anything the logic should lead us to conclude that what KH was saying was that they viewed DR as the best player available. We might infer from KH’s qualification that it may have been close between 5 and 6 on their list. But we cannot logically conclude from KH’s statement that they drafted for need.
Thanks for your work writing this up. I appreciate the explanation of how and why your model ranks DR higher than most public scouting services. I would like to address what I believe to be an errant logic in the following statement. I have seen others make the same leap, but I don’t think the conclusion follows. You write: “Kent Hughes said that if David Reinbacher was a left, there is a chance the team would have smaller interest in him. So it is clear that the team hopes to answer an immediate need with this selection.” Hughes comment only states that they would possibly exclude if he played a position of abundance. It does not follow that they are drafting for need, only that they MIGHT not draft if it was a position in which their cup runneth over. KH did not say that he rose on their list because he is a right-shot defence-man. If anything the logic should lead us to conclude that what KH was saying was that they viewed DR as the best player available. We might infer from KH’s qualification that it may have been close between 5 and 6 on their list. But we cannot logically conclude from KH’s statement that they drafted for need.